K0DID Space Weather

Updated 05 May 2024 1630 GMT

NASA | Aurora 1%

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NASA | Geospace

NASA | Space Weather Alerts

MSG 0 - Date: 2024-05-05 12:32:41.170
Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 143
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 1232 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 May 05 1141 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 05 1154 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 05 1243 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.2
Optical Class: sn
Location: N24W24
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
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MSG 1 - Date: 2024-05-05 11:52:39.967
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 363
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 1152 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 05 1150 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 2 - Date: 2024-05-05 10:38:22.767
Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 219
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 1038 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 May 05 0953 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 05 1000 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 05 1019 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.4
Location: N26W24
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.
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MSG 3 - Date: 2024-05-05 09:59:28.320
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 362
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0959 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 05 0957 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 4 - Date: 2024-05-05 06:20:32.170
Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 142
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0620 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 May 05 0547 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 05 0601 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 05 0607 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.3
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N23W21
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
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MSG 5 - Date: 2024-05-05 06:01:38.450
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 361
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0601 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 05 0558 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 6 - Date: 2024-05-05 03:20:37.323
Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 793
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0320 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 May 05 0259 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 05 0300 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 05 0301 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 280 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 167 sfu

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
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MSG 7 - Date: 2024-05-05 01:53:18.630
Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 218
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0153 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 May 05 0115 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 05 0127 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 05 0143 UTC
X-ray Class: M8.4
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N25W19
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.
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MSG 8 - Date: 2024-05-05 01:25:12.813
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 360
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0125 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 05 0123 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 9 - Date: 2024-05-05 00:11:05.850
Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 217
Issue Time: 2024 May 05 0011 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 May 04 2328 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 04 2348 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 04 2355 UTC
X-ray Class: M9.0
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N26W10
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.
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MSG 10 - Date: 2024-05-04 23:42:36.260
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 359
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 2342 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 04 2339 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 11 - Date: 2024-05-04 06:56:03.590
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 633
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 0656 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 04 0638 UTC

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
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MSG 12 - Date: 2024-05-04 06:55:29.167
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1290
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 0655 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 04 0625 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 950 km/s

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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MSG 13 - Date: 2024-05-04 06:42:46.070
Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 216
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 0642 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 May 04 0602 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 04 0619 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 04 0630 UTC
X-ray Class: M9.1
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N26W07
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.
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MSG 14 - Date: 2024-05-04 06:38:06.713
Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 792
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 0638 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 May 04 0613 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 04 0614 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 04 0616 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 280 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 156 sfu

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
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MSG 15 - Date: 2024-05-04 06:18:21.170
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 358
Issue Time: 2024 May 04 0618 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 04 0616 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 16 - Date: 2024-05-03 23:59:36.947
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 632
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 2359 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 2035 UTC

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
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MSG 17 - Date: 2024-05-03 21:02:32.983
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1289
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 2102 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 2023 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 453 km/s

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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MSG 18 - Date: 2024-05-03 20:59:07.890
Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 230
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 2059 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 04:  None (Below G1)   May 05:  G1 (Minor)   May 06:  G2 (Moderate)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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MSG 19 - Date: 2024-05-03 02:51:09.887
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 631
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 0251 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 0232 UTC

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
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MSG 20 - Date: 2024-05-03 02:39:21.400
Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 791
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 0239 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 0219 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 03 0219 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 03 0223 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes
Peak Flux: 660 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 142 sfu

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
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MSG 21 - Date: 2024-05-03 02:38:06.177
Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 141
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 0238 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 0211 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 May 03 0222 UTC
End Time: 2024 May 03 0227 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.6
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N23E06
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
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MSG 22 - Date: 2024-05-03 02:36:02.973
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1288
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 0236 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 May 03 0220 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 959 km/s

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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MSG 23 - Date: 2024-05-03 02:22:33.850
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 357
Issue Time: 2024 May 03 0222 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 May 03 0219 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.
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MSG 24 - Date: 2024-05-02 21:00:16.073
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 142
Issue Time: 2024 May 02 2100 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
 Threshold Reached: 2024 May 02 2059 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC
 
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.
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MSG 25 - Date: 2024-05-02 20:56:33.473
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 4602
Issue Time: 2024 May 02 2056 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4601
Valid From: 2024 May 02 1335 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 May 03 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
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NASA | 27 Day Radio Flux A Index and K Index Forecast

NASA Released: 2024 Apr 29 0236 UTC
Date UTC	Radio Flux 107 cm	Planetary A Index	Largest Kp Index
• 2024 May 05	125	8	3
2024 May 06	125	8	3
2024 May 07	130	8	3
2024 May 08	145	5	2
2024 May 09	150	5	2
2024 May 10	155	5	2
2024 May 11	155	5	2
2024 May 12	160	5	2
2024 May 13	175	5	2
2024 May 14	180	5	2
2024 May 15	205	5	2
2024 May 16	205	5	2
2024 May 17	200	5	2
2024 May 18	195	5	2
2024 May 19	190	5	2
2024 May 20	185	5	2
2024 May 21	180	5	2
2024 May 22	165	5	2
2024 May 23	145	15	4
2024 May 24	145	12	4
2024 May 25	140	12	4